Clear Secure (YOU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

YOU - Clear Secure, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$41.74
-0.21 (-0.50%) ▼
5d: +8.27%
30d: -2.86%
90d: -22.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your YOU Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YOU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.09
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.04
29.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: YOU is currently trading at $41.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.91 to $44.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, YOU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: YOU scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.67 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $39.91 - $44.10
Company Quality Score 75/100 (STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($59.67)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.91 - $44.10
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.38
Resistance Level $42.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.02
Wall Street Target $59.67 (+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 87.0%
Profit Margin 14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.0 vs 19.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.36 (-6%)
2-Year Target $37.12 (-11%)
3-Year Target $35.00 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $41.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 24.1%) $101.47 (+143%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 24.1%) $79.69 (+91%)
Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: 24.1%) $67.74 (+62%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case $79.62 (+91%)
Analyst growth 72.5%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case $72.38 (+73%)
Market implied 72.5%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case $28.53 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 19.1
Stabilization Target: $49.76 (+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.2%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced YOU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's YOU price and gamma walls.

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