YPF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YPF - YPF Sociedad Anonima
$49.50
1.92 (4.04%)
▲
5d:
+7.33%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
+15.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YPF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YPF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.53
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YPF is currently trading at $49.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.75 to $53.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.92, while resistance sits at $56.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: YPF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.37 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.92, while resistance sits at $56.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: YPF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.37 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.75 -
$53.25
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.37)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 42.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.75 -
$53.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.92
Resistance Level
$56.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.86
Wall Street Target
$57.37
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.0%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.60
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$49.70
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$49.80
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.8%)
$136.19
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 3.8%)
$55.41
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 3.8%)
$47.09
(-5%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YPF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mauricio Alejandro Martin
SELL
3430 shares
2026-03-25
Marcelo Gustavo Aldeco
SELL
12719 shares
2026-03-19
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