YPF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YPF - YPF Sociedad Anonima
$48.04
-1.43 (-2.89%)
▼
5d:
-8.65%
30d:
+0.21%
90d:
+16.57%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YPF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: YPF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.68
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YPF is currently trading at $48.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.16 to $54.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.06 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.06 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.16 -
$54.69
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.06)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.16 -
$54.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.92
Resistance Level
$56.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.62
Wall Street Target
$57.06
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.0%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$47.18
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$46.75
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$48.29
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$148.29
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$58.67
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$49.87
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$49.62
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YPF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mauricio Alejandro Martin
SELL
3430 shares
2026-03-25
Marcelo Gustavo Aldeco
SELL
12719 shares
2026-03-19
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