YPF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YPF - YPF Sociedad Anonima
$51.18
0.26 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
-1.43%
90d:
+6.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When YPF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YPF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YPF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.01
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YPF is currently trading at $51.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.02 to $51.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.86, while resistance sits at $53.44.
Market Sentiment: YPF scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.48 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.86, while resistance sits at $53.44.
Market Sentiment: YPF scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.48 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$49.02 -
$51.60
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($59.48)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.02 -
$51.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.86
Resistance Level
$53.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.80
Wall Street Target
$59.48
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
72.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2550.7%
Profit Margin
4.0%
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.06
(0%)
2-Year Target
$50.06
(0%)
3-Year Target
$50.06
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -12.4%)
$83.20
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -12.4%)
$36.49
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -12.4%)
$31.02
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$111.50
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$101.36
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$34.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is YPF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mauricio Alejandro Martin
SELL
3430 shares
2026-03-25
Marcelo Gustavo Aldeco
SELL
12719 shares
2026-03-19
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$169 | 35 SELL |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$217 | 41 HOLD |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$37 | 32 SELL |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$71 | 40 SELL |
|
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro Petr… |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$22 | 42 HOLD |
