Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$34.82
0.76 (2.23%)
▲
5d:
+8.81%
30d:
+4.16%
90d:
-23.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: Z shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: Z shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.43
46.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $34.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.17 to $33.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.83 (+63.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.83 (+63.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.17 -
$33.90
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.9% below Wall St target ($55.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.17 -
$33.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.39
Resistance Level
$34.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$55.83
(+63.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.83
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→18)
$39.44
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 30.8%)
$139.48
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 30.8%)
$76.24
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 30.8%)
$64.80
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.25
Bull Case
$41.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$34.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$26.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$54.11
(+58.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman
SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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