Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$32.50
1.25 (4.00%) ▲
5d: -8.04%
30d: -2.29%
90d: -0.61%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $34.59 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.36
44.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $32.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.17 to $36.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.05, while resistance sits at $36.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: Z scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+41.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $33.17 - $36.02
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($46.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.17 - $36.02
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.05
Resistance Level $36.83
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.65
Wall Street Target $46.00 (+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%
Profit Margin 2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 17.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.25 (-10%)
2-Year Target $26.32 (-19%)
3-Year Target $23.69 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→17) $35.18 (+8%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 25.4%) $110.99 (+242%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 25.4%) $64.11 (+97%)
Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 25.4%) $54.49 (+68%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.92
Bull Case $39.24 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case $32.50 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case $24.86 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 17.3
Stabilization Target: $48.26 (+48.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +48.5%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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