Is Z stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, Z is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of Z stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for Z to be between $35.81 and $43.25. The current price is $35.51.

What is the analyst price target for Z?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for Z is $63.00. This implies a potential upside of 77.4% from current levels.

Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$35.51

-0.86 (-2.36%) ▼

5d: -1.5%

30d: -19.35%

90d: -22.5%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your Z Gains

Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$119.28

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$74.06

52.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $35.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.81 to $43.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: Z has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+77.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $35.81 - $43.25

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 77.4% below Wall St target ($63.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.81 - $43.25

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.64

Resistance Level $38.08

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.77

Wall Street Target $63.00 (+77.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%

Profit Margin 2.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -16.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 20.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -16.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $31.96 (-10%)

2-Year Target $28.76 (-19%)

3-Year Target $25.89 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→20) $44.65 (+26%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 30.9%) $148.29 (+318%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 30.9%) $79.65 (+124%)

Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 30.9%) $67.70 (+91%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 15.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.23

Bull Case $42.79 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.7

Base Case $35.44 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.9

Bear Case $27.11 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 20.3

Stabilization Target: $61.25 (+72.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +72.5%

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Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jeremy Hofmann SELL 7786 shares 2026-02-18

Dan Spaulding SELL 5361 shares 2026-02-17

Jeremy Wacksman SELL 13661 shares 2026-02-17

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