Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$27.41
-0.34 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-3.59%
30d:
-20.73%
90d:
-16.84%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 25, 2026 at $28.73 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026
Strength: 9.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.67
51.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $27.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.72 to $34.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.72 -
$34.81
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding Z? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.8% below Wall St target ($46.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 37% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.72 -
$34.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.67
Resistance Level
$31.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.83
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+67.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→17)
$34.17
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 25.4%)
$112.26
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 25.4%)
$54.07
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 25.4%)
$45.96
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.76
Bull Case
$33.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$27.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$20.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.87
(+71.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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