Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$33.98
2.67 (8.53%)
▲
5d:
+8.01%
30d:
+18.6%
90d:
+10.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.96
38.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $33.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.55 to $31.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.50 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.50 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.55 -
$31.49
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($41.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.55 -
$31.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.90
Resistance Level
$34.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$41.50
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.85
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$28.02
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$25.44
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$34.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.1%)
$107.65
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 25.1%)
$66.46
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 25.1%)
$56.49
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.43
Bull Case
$41.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$33.98
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$25.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$45.45
(+33.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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