Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$30.50
0.19 (0.63%) ▲
5d: -5.75%
30d: -17.01%
90d: -31.95%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your Z Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.78
56.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $30.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.62 to $36.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.50 (+98.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $32.62 - $36.70
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 98.4% below Wall St target ($60.50)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.62 - $36.70
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.16
Resistance Level $37.64
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.11
Wall Street Target $60.50 (+98.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -19.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.1 vs 19.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -19.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.45 (-10%)
2-Year Target $24.71 (-19%)
3-Year Target $22.23 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→19) $42.67 (+40%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.9%) $147.41 (+383%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 30.9%) $68.41 (+124%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 30.9%) $58.15 (+91%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.14
Bull Case $36.83 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case $30.50 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $23.33 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 19.4
Stabilization Target: $58.54 (+91.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +91.9%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann SELL 7786 shares 2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding SELL 5361 shares 2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman SELL 13661 shares 2026-02-17

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