Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$35.88
0.16 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
+21.3%
90d:
-2.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.71
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $35.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.10 to $35.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.50, while resistance sits at $37.41.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.50, while resistance sits at $37.41.
Market Sentiment: Z scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.42
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding Z? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($46.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.50
Resistance Level
$37.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.80
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$26.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$36.00
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$110.44
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 25.4%)
$70.46
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 25.4%)
$59.89
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.29
Bull Case
$43.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$35.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$27.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$49.38
(+38.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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