ABEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABEV - AMBEV S.A.
$3.09
0.03 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
+3.0%
30d:
-4.04%
90d:
-2.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When ABEV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABEV is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABEV is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.30
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABEV is currently trading at $3.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.06 to $3.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABEV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABEV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.06 -
$3.19
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($3.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.06 -
$3.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.00
Resistance Level
$3.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.37
Wall Street Target
$3.37
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.10
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$3.10
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$3.11
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$6.21
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$4.10
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$3.48
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$3.82
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$3.48
(+13%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$2.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ABEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
De Lacerda Eduardo Caval…
SELL
152386 shares
2026-03-27
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
STZ
Constellation Brands Inc… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$171 | 54 HOLD |
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$46 | 58 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$94 | 57 HOLD |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$127 | 62 BUY |
|
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc |
SELL
14 analysts |
$228 | 47 HOLD |
