ABG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABG - Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
$214.81
-0.56 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
+1.97%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
+15.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$344.59
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABG is currently trading at $214.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $209.24 to $229.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $217.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABG scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.20 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $217.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABG scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.20 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$209.24 -
$229.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($254.20)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$209.24 -
$229.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$202.61
Resistance Level
$217.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.09
Wall Street Target
$254.20
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$210.54
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$208.43
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$214.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$917.72
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$324.36
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$275.70
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.18
Bull Case
$263.95
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$239.95
(+12%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$146.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$221.06
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
B. Christopher Disantis
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-10
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