ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$43.91
0.05 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+9.45%
90d:
+14.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.98
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $43.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.32 to $44.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.86 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.86 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.32 -
$44.09
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.32 -
$44.09
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.68
Resistance Level
$47.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.10
Wall Street Target
$51.86
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.25
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$44.65
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$45.05
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$121.67
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$56.44
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 8.8%)
$47.97
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$81.09
(+85%)
Analyst growth 67.0%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$73.72
(+68%)
Market implied 67.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$30.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rene Jacobsen
SELL
31034 shares
2026-01-13
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