ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$47.91
0.31 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
+7.57%
90d:
+17.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.32
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $47.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.62 to $47.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.35, while resistance sits at $49.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.35, while resistance sits at $49.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.62 -
$47.91
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.62 -
$47.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.35
Resistance Level
$49.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.00
Wall Street Target
$52.43
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.49
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.12
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$52.81
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.5%)
$118.50
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$62.89
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$53.45
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$90.85
(+90%)
Analyst growth 73.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$82.59
(+72%)
Market implied 73.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$32.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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