ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$69.07
1.21 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-0.75%
30d:
-1.58%
90d:
-23.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.7% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.7% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.31
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.88
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $69.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.41 to $71.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.96 (+52.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.96 (+52.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$69.41 -
$71.99
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($104.96)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.41 -
$71.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.27
Resistance Level
$72.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.28
Wall Street Target
$104.96
(+52.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$50.86
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$69.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$206.24
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$97.33
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 12.1%)
$82.73
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$104.72
(+52%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$95.20
(+38%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$46.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$94.08
(+36.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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