AENT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AENT - Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
$5.80
0.13 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
+9.6%
30d:
-3.04%
90d:
-21.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AENT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AENT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.90
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $5.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.40 to $6.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.01, while resistance sits at $6.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+58.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.01, while resistance sits at $6.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+58.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.40 -
$6.27
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.7% below Wall St target ($9.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.40 -
$6.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.01
Resistance Level
$6.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.06
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+58.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.62
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$5.52
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$5.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$11.16
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$6.18
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 2.9%)
$5.25
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$6.09
(+7%)
Analyst growth 4.4%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$5.54
(-2%)
Market implied 4.4%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$3.60
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.83
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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