AGCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGCO - AGCO Corporation
$103.92
1.76 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
-13.57%
30d:
-10.79%
90d:
-12.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AGCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AGCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.67
27.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGCO is currently trading at $103.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.44 to $119.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $101.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AGCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.47 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $101.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AGCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.47 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$112.44 -
$119.15
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.47)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.44 -
$119.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.83
Resistance Level
$124.53
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$124.47
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 15.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.45
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$95.18
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$91.08
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$104.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 34.7%)
$386.26
(+272%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 34.7%)
$254.22
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 34.7%)
$216.09
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.23
Bull Case
$118.38
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$107.62
(+4%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$69.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$118.82
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kelvin Eugene Bennett
SELL
2300 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced AGCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGCO price and gamma walls.
