AGCO (AGCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGCO - AGCO Corporation
$119.79
-1.78 (-1.46%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
+20.37%
90d:
+5.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.95
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGCO is currently trading at $119.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.97 to $124.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $118.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $118.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$102.97 -
$124.27
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($124.47)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -1.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.97 -
$124.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.00
Resistance Level
$135.17
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$124.47
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.95
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$124.14
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$126.38
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 29.9%)
$323.72
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 29.9%)
$262.71
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 29.9%)
$223.31
(+86%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.33
Bull Case
$133.31
(+11%)
Analyst growth -0.3%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$121.20
(+1%)
Market implied -0.3%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$82.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 20, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGCO price and gamma walls.
