AGCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGCO - AGCO Corporation
$108.60
1.79 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+8.87%
30d:
-10.4%
90d:
-3.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AGCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AGCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.07
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGCO is currently trading at $108.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.92 to $116.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.47 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.47 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$100.92 -
$116.24
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (93/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($122.47)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.92 -
$116.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.22
Resistance Level
$108.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.62
Wall Street Target
$122.47
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.89
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$103.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$101.15
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$106.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.9%)
$321.64
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 29.9%)
$234.25
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 29.9%)
$199.11
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.23
Bull Case
$115.65
(+8%)
Analyst growth 1.1%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$105.13
(-2%)
Market implied 1.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$70.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$112.53
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGCO price and gamma walls.
