AGCO (AGCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGCO - AGCO Corporation
$103.28
-4.85 (-4.49%)
▼
5d:
-9.89%
30d:
-15.3%
90d:
-9.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AGCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AGCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.58
24.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGCO is currently trading at $103.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.94 to $125.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.73 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGCO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.73 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$112.94 -
$125.33
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($124.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.94 -
$125.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.18
Resistance Level
$119.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.07
Wall Street Target
$124.73
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.87
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$96.58
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$93.39
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$102.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.6%)
$324.38
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 30.6%)
$229.80
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 30.6%)
$195.33
(+89%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.23
Bull Case
$120.76
(+17%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$109.79
(+6%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$73.53
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$113.78
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGCO price and gamma walls.
