AGYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGYS - Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$86.47
2.03 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
+8.77%
90d:
+19.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGYS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGYS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGYS is currently trading at $86.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.63 to $91.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.8) is in line with its historical norms (42.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 212.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $83.51, while resistance sits at $93.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.33 (+50.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $83.51, while resistance sits at $93.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.33 (+50.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.63 -
$91.25
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($127.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.63 -
$91.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.87
(7.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.51
Resistance Level
$93.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.84
Wall Street Target
$127.33
(+50.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
212.9%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.8 vs 42.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.65
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$78.96
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$76.35
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→43)
$84.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.8, Growth: 31.4%)
$191.72
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.4%)
$107.52
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 31.4%)
$91.39
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 38.61 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.19
Bull Case
$101.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$84.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$64.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.8 to 42.9
Stabilization Target:
$93.28
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Melvin L Keating
BUY
240 shares
2026-03-17
Melvin L Keating
BUY
160 shares
2026-03-16
Melvin L Keating
BUY
300 shares
2026-02-03
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Advanced AGYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGYS price and gamma walls.
