ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$18.19
-0.47 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
+1.28%
30d:
-3.19%
90d:
+7.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 35.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 35.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.85
71.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $18.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.88 to $19.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (32.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 35.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.70, while resistance sits at $19.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.39 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.70, while resistance sits at $19.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.39 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.88 -
$19.82
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($23.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.88 -
$19.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.70
Resistance Level
$19.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.75
Wall Street Target
$23.39
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
221.2%
Profit Margin
-265.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-35.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 32.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-35.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→33)
$49.71
(+173%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 296.8%)
$152.82
(+740%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 296.8%)
$61.39
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 296.8%)
$52.18
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 32.8
Stabilization Target:
$68.19
(+274.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+274.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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