ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$8.86
0.11 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
-9.92%
30d:
-28.59%
90d:
-33.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.85
85.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $8.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.21 to $14.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 44.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.39, while resistance sits at $11.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.04 (+171.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.39, while resistance sits at $11.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.04 (+171.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.21 -
$14.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 171.5% below Wall St target ($24.04)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.21 -
$14.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.39
Resistance Level
$11.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.10
Wall Street Target
$24.04
(+171.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
497.7%
Profit Margin
125.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-44.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-44.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→23)
$36.68
(+314%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 198.5%)
$144.76
(+1535%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 198.5%)
$29.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 198.5%)
$25.40
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.18
Bull Case
$19.25
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.5
Base Case
$17.50
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.6
Bear Case
$5.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$50.32
(+468.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+468.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 5:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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