ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$16.46
-1.73 (-9.51%)
▼
5d:
-11.36%
30d:
-11.79%
90d:
+11.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
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Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALM is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALM is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.85
73.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $16.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.81 to $19.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (32.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 37.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.11, while resistance sits at $19.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.30 (+41.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.11, while resistance sits at $19.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.30 (+41.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.81 -
$19.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($23.30)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.81 -
$19.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.11
Resistance Level
$19.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.92
Wall Street Target
$23.30
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
221.2%
Profit Margin
-265.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-37.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 32.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-37.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.81
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.00
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→33)
$49.41
(+200%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 296.8%)
$152.82
(+828%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 296.8%)
$55.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 296.8%)
$47.22
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 32.6
Stabilization Target:
$67.78
(+311.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+311.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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