ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$13.40
0.22 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
-2.33%
30d:
-24.25%
90d:
-17.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.25
73.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $13.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.46 to $17.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 31.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.37, while resistance sits at $15.23.
Market Sentiment: ALM scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.44 (+82.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.37, while resistance sits at $15.23.
Market Sentiment: ALM scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.44 (+82.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.46 -
$17.95
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.4% below Wall St target ($24.44)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 39% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.46 -
$17.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.37
Resistance Level
$15.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$24.44
(+82.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
497.7%
Profit Margin
125.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-31.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-31.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→25)
$30.30
(+126%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 325.6%)
$116.32
(+768%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 325.6%)
$45.23
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 325.6%)
$38.44
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.28
Bull Case
$16.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$13.40
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$10.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$41.56
(+210.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+210.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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