ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$15.79
0.77 (5.16%)
▲
5d:
+3.88%
30d:
-7.5%
90d:
-23.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.05
63.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $15.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.40 to $17.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (30.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.30, while resistance sits at $17.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.87 (+57.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.30, while resistance sits at $17.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.87 (+57.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.40 -
$17.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.5% below Wall St target ($24.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.40 -
$17.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.30
Resistance Level
$17.40
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$24.87
(+57.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
221.2%
Profit Margin
-265.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 30.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→31)
$31.87
(+102%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 995.4%)
$104.67
(+563%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 995.4%)
$53.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 995.4%)
$45.30
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 30.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.72
(+176.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+176.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALM price and gamma walls.