AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$46.02
1.14 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
+1.72%
30d:
+2.27%
90d:
+21.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.69
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $46.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.72 to $45.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.72 -
$45.13
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 77.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.72 -
$45.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.94
Resistance Level
$46.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$48.36
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.17
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$48.35
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$49.56
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.6%)
$110.35
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$57.26
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 7.6%)
$48.67
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$99.33
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.7
Base Case
$90.30
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$30.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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