AOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AOUT - American Outdoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$10.17
0.20 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
-0.39%
30d:
+5.28%
90d:
+19.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.89
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AOUT is currently trading at $10.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.46 to $10.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.23, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.23, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.46 -
$10.30
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.46 -
$10.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.23
Resistance Level
$10.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.76
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.59
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$11.02
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$11.47
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 162.1%)
$34.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 162.1%)
$27.93
(+175%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 162.1%)
$23.74
(+134%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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