APG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APG - APi Group Corporation
$41.16
-0.77 (-1.84%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.35%
30d:
+4.04%
90d:
-0.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.19
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APG is currently trading at $41.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.48 to $42.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.36 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.36 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.48 -
$42.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($52.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.48 -
$42.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.01
Resistance Level
$44.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.67
Wall Street Target
$52.36
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.36
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$35.75
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$33.32
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â26)
$41.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 105.5%)
$138.91
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 105.5%)
$134.86
(+228%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 105.5%)
$114.63
(+179%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$50.77
(+23.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin E Franklin
SELL
3000000 shares
2026-03-19
Ian G H Ashken
SELL
72546 shares
2026-03-04
James E Lillie
SELL
83629 shares
2026-03-04
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APG price and gamma walls.
