ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$143.74
-1.86 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-12.41%
30d:
+15.54%
90d:
+56.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ARCB is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ARCB is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.21
9.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $143.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.41 to $161.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $142.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $142.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.41 -
$161.17
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($153.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.41 -
$161.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$142.79
Resistance Level
$176.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.92
Wall Street Target
$153.36
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.05
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$152.49
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$157.07
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 43.4%)
$545.64
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 43.4%)
$423.90
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 43.4%)
$360.31
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.91
Bull Case
$173.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$143.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$109.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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