ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$142.28
4.71 (3.42%)
▲
5d:
-4.82%
30d:
-0.06%
90d:
+22.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.82
20.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $142.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.46 to $155.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.98, while resistance sits at $161.84. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.62 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.98, while resistance sits at $161.84. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.62 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$142.46 -
$155.12
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($170.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.46 -
$155.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.98
Resistance Level
$161.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.60
Wall Street Target
$170.62
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.41
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$131.31
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$128.29
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$137.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 37.2%)
$504.68
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 37.2%)
$355.56
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 37.2%)
$302.23
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.44
Bull Case
$166.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$137.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$105.24
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$147.89
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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