ASYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASYS - Amtech Systems Inc
$14.63
0.01 (0.07%)
▲
5d:
-8.79%
30d:
-15.19%
90d:
-30.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.82
59.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASYS is currently trading at $14.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.00 to $17.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASYS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.13, while resistance sits at $17.80.
Market Sentiment: ASYS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+50.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASYS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.13, while resistance sits at $17.80.
Market Sentiment: ASYS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+50.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.00 -
$17.41
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.4% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.00 -
$17.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.13
Resistance Level
$17.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+50.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 23.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→24)
$21.60
(+48%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 204.9%)
$84.67
(+479%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 204.9%)
$49.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 204.9%)
$41.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.23
Bull Case
$17.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$14.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$11.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$29.62
(+102.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+102.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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