ATMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATMU - Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
$50.39
-1.73 (-3.33%)
▼
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
+4.04%
90d:
-13.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATMU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATMU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.48
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.59
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATMU is currently trading at $50.38, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.02 to $50.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.86, while resistance sits at $53.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATMU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.86, while resistance sits at $53.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATMU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$47.02 -
$50.74
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($66.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.02 -
$50.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.89
(5.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.86
Resistance Level
$53.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.21
Wall Street Target
$66.40
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$48.03
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$46.11
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$52.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$91.96
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$68.46
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$58.19
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$71.81
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.1%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$65.28
(+25%)
Market implied 26.1%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$35.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$58.82
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATMU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATMU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATMU price and gamma walls.
