BBW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBW - Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
$38.89
1.11 (2.94%)
▲
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
+14.92%
90d:
+4.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.53
26.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBW is currently trading at $38.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.79 to $37.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.76, while resistance sits at $40.15.
Market Sentiment: BBW scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.25 (+57.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.76, while resistance sits at $40.15.
Market Sentiment: BBW scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.25 (+57.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.79 -
$37.49
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.5% below Wall St target ($61.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.79 -
$37.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.76
Resistance Level
$40.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.67
Wall Street Target
$61.25
(+57.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$36.14
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$34.84
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$38.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 71.4%)
$82.47
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 71.4%)
$39.73
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 71.4%)
$33.77
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.08
Bull Case
$40.97
(+5%)
Analyst growth -1.4%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$37.25
(-4%)
Market implied -1.4%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$25.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$43.44
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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