DKS Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$148.13
-1.87 (-1.25%) ▼
5d: +0.33% 30d: +7.69% 90d: -26.76%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$136.23 – $145.51
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x CHEAP
vs 13.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$160.83
+7.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$135.02 / $150.35
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DKS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $143.15 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$310.12
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$192.56
23.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DKS is currently trading at $148.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.23 to $145.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DKS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $136.23 - $145.51
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $136.23 - $145.51
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $135.02
Resistance Level $150.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($160.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.11
Wall Street Target $160.83 (+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.7%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.1 vs 13.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $137.85 (-8%)
2-Year Target $126.68 (-16%)
3-Year Target $116.42 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→13) $149.68 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.1%) $461.55 (+208%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 16.1%) $234.99 (+57%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 16.1%) $199.74 (+33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.66
Bull Case $249.49 (+66%)
Analyst growth 53.6%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case $226.81 (+51%)
Market implied 53.6%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case $100.43 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 13.0
Stabilization Target: $192.85 (+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.6%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DKS)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment dominates $DKS on StockTwits with no new articles on Yahoo Finance.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment No news articles available
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive DKS Research Pages
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