Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKS - Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc.
$146.30
4.33 (3.05%)
▲
5d:
+3.88%
30d:
+10.53%
90d:
-28.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 9, 2026 at $135.21 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DKS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DKS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.89
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.52
25.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKS is currently trading at $146.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.94 to $140.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $147.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.91 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $147.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.91 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$127.94 -
$140.29
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DKS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($159.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.94 -
$140.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.08
Resistance Level
$147.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$159.91
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.7%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$115.00
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$103.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$142.75
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.1%)
$461.55
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$222.41
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$189.05
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.21
Bull Case
$253.51
(+79%)
Analyst growth 61.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$230.46
(+62%)
Market implied 61.1%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$97.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$195.82
(+37.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DKS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DKS price and gamma walls.
