Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKS - Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc.
$132.85
-1.44 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
-0.08%
90d:
-43.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: DKS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: DKS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$322.05
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$199.97
33.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKS is currently trading at $132.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.38 to $143.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.15, while resistance sits at $137.05.
Market Sentiment: DKS scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.27 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.15, while resistance sits at $137.05.
Market Sentiment: DKS scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.27 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$123.38 -
$143.56
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DKS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.27)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.38 -
$143.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.15
Resistance Level
$137.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.96
Wall Street Target
$158.27
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.7%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$107.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$96.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$146.00
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.1%)
$474.10
(+257%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$208.12
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$176.90
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.07
Bull Case
$241.61
(+82%)
Analyst growth 63.6%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$219.64
(+65%)
Market implied 63.6%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$91.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$200.27
(+50.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Lodge-Jarrett
SELL
4140 shares
2026-04-17
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Advanced DKS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DKS price and gamma walls.
