FIVE
Five Below, Inc. Common Stock
RETAIL-VARIETY STORES
Five Below (FIVE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$250.74
-2.77 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
+17.53%
90d:
+3.74%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
19d
Protect FIVE Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$214.70 – $241.33
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.6x
FAIR
vs 31.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$305.50
+21.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$235.43 / $258.66
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FIVE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.39
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVE is currently trading at $250.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.70 to $241.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.6) compared to its historical average (31.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $235.43, while resistance sits at $258.66.
Market Sentiment: FIVE scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.50 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $235.43, while resistance sits at $258.66.
Market Sentiment: FIVE scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.50 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$214.70 -
$241.33
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$214.70 -
$241.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$235.43
Resistance Level
$258.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FIVE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($305.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.57
Wall Street Target
$305.50
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
418.2%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
35.6 vs 31.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$261.27
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$272.24
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$283.68
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$250.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$345.86
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$193.10
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$164.13
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.15
Bull Case
$176.29
(-30%)
Analyst growth -36.8%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$160.26
(-36%)
Market implied -36.8%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$172.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FIVE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest Yahoo Finance news identifies $FIVE as one of three stocks with a Strong Buy rank and strong momentum, according to Zacks, with earnings estimate revisions and price gains over the past three months.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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