FIVE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIVE - Five Below, Inc. Common Stock
$191.53
2.14 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+8.58%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
-11.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FIVE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.1% annual earnings decline despite 196% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FIVE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.1% annual earnings decline despite 196% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.39
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVE is currently trading at $191.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.53 to $194.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.2) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 195.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.68, while resistance sits at $232.50.
Market Sentiment: FIVE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.33 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.68, while resistance sits at $232.50.
Market Sentiment: FIVE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.33 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$181.53 -
$194.51
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($260.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.53 -
$194.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.68
Resistance Level
$232.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.17
Wall Street Target
$260.33
(+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
195.6%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 30.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.68
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$176.15
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$168.92
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$191.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$264.19
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$211.77
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$180.00
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.09
Bull Case
$176.58
(-7%)
Analyst growth -12.9%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$160.53
(-15%)
Market implied -12.9%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$125.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.2 to 30.8
Stabilization Target:
$217.10
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald Sargent
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-23
Kenneth R Bull
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-20
Kenneth R Bull
SELL
1925 shares
2026-01-15
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