FIVE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIVE - Five Below, Inc. Common Stock
$252.20
12.24 (5.10%)
▲
5d:
+4.26%
30d:
+9.12%
90d:
+32.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FIVE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FIVE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.39
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVE is currently trading at $252.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.76 to $251.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.8) compared to its historical average (31.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $236.95, while resistance sits at $263.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $236.95, while resistance sits at $263.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$221.76 -
$251.23
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FIVE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($274.19)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.8% growth expectation is conservative given 196% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.76 -
$251.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$236.95
Resistance Level
$263.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.78
Wall Street Target
$274.19
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
195.6%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
35.8 vs 31.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$264.31
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$276.99
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$290.29
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$252.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$347.88
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$196.69
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$167.19
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.82
Bull Case
$237.92
(-6%)
Analyst growth -9.9%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$216.30
(-14%)
Market implied -9.9%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$163.17
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald Sargent
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-23
Kenneth R Bull
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-20
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