BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$32.83
-0.67 (-2.00%)
▼
5d:
-4.67%
30d:
+5.43%
90d:
+31.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.09
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $32.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.00 to $33.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.00 -
$33.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.00 -
$33.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.42
Resistance Level
$34.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$33.82
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.2%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.98
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$35.17
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$36.40
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.00
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$90.96
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.4%)
$44.22
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$37.59
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$73.70
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$67.00
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$22.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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