BGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$3.46
0.13 (3.90%)
â˛
5d:
-4.42%
30d:
-1.42%
90d:
-18.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.76
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $3.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.45 to $3.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.32, while resistance sits at $3.71. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.20 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.32, while resistance sits at $3.71. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.20 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.45 -
$3.71
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($4.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.45 -
$3.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.32
Resistance Level
$3.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.71
Wall Street Target
$4.20
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.31
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$3.16
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$3.02
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$3.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -6.1%)
$8.56
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.86
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.43
(-30%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$3.97
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew D Vogel
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
David L Wenner
SELL
19500 shares
2026-03-13
Martin C Schoch
SELL
11321 shares
2026-03-12
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