BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$21.94
0.11 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
+4.08%
90d:
+10.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BNL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BNL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.34
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $21.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.60 to $21.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.60 -
$21.46
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.60 -
$21.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.67
Resistance Level
$22.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.04
Wall Street Target
$22.90
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.31
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$22.69
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$23.08
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 1.7%)
$23.06
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.7%)
$18.57
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 1.7%)
$15.79
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$29.98
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$27.25
(+24%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$14.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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