BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.53
-0.04 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
-2.64%
30d:
-2.47%
90d:
-0.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.79
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.53 to $5.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.53 -
$5.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.53 -
$5.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.42
Resistance Level
$5.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.96
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.56
(0%)
2-Year Target
$5.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$5.55
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$5.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.0%)
$23.20
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 15.0%)
$8.48
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 15.0%)
$7.20
(+29%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.60
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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