BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.13
0.12 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
-5.7%
90d:
-12.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BRSP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.17 to $5.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $5.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.38 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $5.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.38 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.17 -
$5.48
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($6.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.17 -
$5.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.85
Resistance Level
$5.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.71
Wall Street Target
$6.38
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.03
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$4.98
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$5.10
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$20.41
(+298%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$7.59
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$6.45
(+26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$5.26
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Mortgage Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Mortgage by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 53 HOLD |
|
NLY
Annaly Capital Managemen… |
BUY
14 analysts |
$24 | 52 HOLD |
|
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trus… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$13 | 42 HOLD |
|
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$15 | 51 HOLD |
|
LADR
Ladder Capital Corp Clas… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$12 | 47 HOLD |
