BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BUR - Burford Capital Limited

FINANCE SERVICES
$4.31
0.05 (1.17%) ▲
5d: -1.37%
30d: +3.86%
90d: -8.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.11 to $4.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.14, while resistance sits at $4.51.

Market Sentiment: BUR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+101.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $4.11 - $4.35
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 101.2% below Wall St target ($8.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.9% growth with -37.2% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.11 - $4.35
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.14
Resistance Level $4.52
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.00
Wall Street Target $8.67 (+101.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium
PE vs Historical 8.0 vs 6.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.74 (+10%)
2-Year Target $5.21 (+21%)
3-Year Target $5.72 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→6) PE COMPRESSION $4.29 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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