BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.12
-0.09 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-0.96%
90d:
-16.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.99
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.06 to $4.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.91, while resistance sits at $4.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+110.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.91, while resistance sits at $4.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+110.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.06 -
$4.26
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 110.5% below Wall St target ($8.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.06 -
$4.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.91
Resistance Level
$4.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.68
Wall Street Target
$8.67
(+110.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 5.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.06
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.01
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$3.95
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$4.10
(-1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$4.28
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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