BWXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$184.72
-2.54 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-7.15%
30d:
-14.75%
90d:
-10.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BWXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.79
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $184.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.70 to $215.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.6) compared to its historical average (42.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $182.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $238.27 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $182.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $238.27 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$197.70 -
$215.41
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($238.27)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$197.70 -
$215.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.50
Resistance Level
$208.83
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.56
Wall Street Target
$238.27
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.6 vs 42.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.19
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$164.26
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$154.90
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→43)
$185.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$247.34
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$152.38
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$129.52
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$301.76
(+51%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 58.0
Base Case
$274.33
(+38%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 52.7
Bear Case
$134.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.6 to 42.5
Stabilization Target:
$220.75
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-19
Kevin James Gorman
SELL
1344 shares
2026-03-02
Gerhard F Burbach
SELL
1983 shares
2026-02-25
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