BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$127.30
-7.81 (-5.78%)
▼
5d:
-7.22%
30d:
-10.23%
90d:
-27.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.07
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $127.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.68 to $145.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (37.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWXT scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.44 (+64.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWXT scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.44 (+64.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$134.68 -
$145.00
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.5% below Wall St target ($209.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$134.68 -
$145.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.79
Resistance Level
$144.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.32
Wall Street Target
$209.44
(+64.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 37.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$103.11
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$92.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→38)
$143.87
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$171.20
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$139.82
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$118.85
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$201.56
(+58%)
Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$183.24
(+44%)
Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$91.87
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.3 to 37.7
Stabilization Target:
$197.36
(+55.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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