BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$150.12
-2.37 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-6.32%
30d:
-13.0%
90d:
-22.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 9, 2026 at $157.93 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.19
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $150.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.34 to $168.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.5) compared to its historical average (39.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWXT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.88 (+52.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWXT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.88 (+52.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$153.34 -
$168.96
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
25th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($228.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.34 -
$168.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.32
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.42
Resistance Level
$162.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.51
Wall Street Target
$228.88
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 39.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$121.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$109.44
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→39)
$151.26
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.5, Growth: 11.1%)
$205.99
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$145.75
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.1%)
$123.89
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$228.85
(+52%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$208.05
(+39%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$103.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.5 to 39.4
Stabilization Target:
$207.49
(+38.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-19
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Advanced BWXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWXT price and gamma walls.
