BWXT
BWX Technologies, Inc.
ENGINES & TURBINES
BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$125.68
-0.96 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
+3.44%
30d:
-9.49%
90d:
-26.22%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$127.43 – $140.83
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.1x
CHEAP
vs 36.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$202.32
+61.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$112.55 / $139.61
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.55
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $125.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.43 to $140.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (36.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $112.55, while resistance sits at $139.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.32 (+61.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $112.55, while resistance sits at $139.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.32 (+61.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$127.43 -
$140.83
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$127.43 -
$140.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$112.55
Resistance Level
$139.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.0% below Wall St target ($202.32)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.08
Wall Street Target
$202.32
(+61.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 36.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$101.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$91.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→37)
$140.38
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$165.86
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.7%)
$136.78
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.7%)
$116.26
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.07
Bull Case
$178.62
(+42%)
Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$162.38
(+29%)
Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$86.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 36.9
Stabilization Target:
$192.57
(+53.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BWXT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
BWX Technologies, Inc. announced the pricing terms, expiration, and results of its cash tender offers and consent solicitations for its 4.125 Senior Notes due 2028 and 2029, accepting for purchase all tendered Notes.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's debt restructuring efforts
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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