CAE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$26.45
0.63 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
+2.52%
30d:
+3.68%
90d:
+2.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.48
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $26.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.69 to $26.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.74 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.74 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.69 -
$26.01
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($32.74)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 4.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.69 -
$26.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.11
Resistance Level
$26.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.32
Wall Street Target
$32.74
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.77
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.93
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 3.9%)
$29.70
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.88
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 3.9%)
$24.55
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$51.85
(+101%)
Analyst growth 82.5%, PE expands to 41.8
Base Case
$47.13
(+83%)
Market implied 82.5%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$17.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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