CAE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$24.91
-0.08 (-0.32%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.85%
30d:
+0.32%
90d:
-7.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CAE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.63
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $24.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.89 to $26.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.53 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.53 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.89 -
$26.86
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($33.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.89 -
$26.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.75
Resistance Level
$28.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.08
Wall Street Target
$33.53
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 21.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.22
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.88
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â21)
$24.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.97
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.96
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$23.77
(-5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$54.98
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$49.98
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$16.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$26.06
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$337 | 52 HOLD |
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$275 | 44 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group IncorporâĻ |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1523 | 53 HOLD |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$405 | 50 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$235 | 43 HOLD |
