CAE (CAE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$24.01
-0.04 (-0.15%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.44%
30d:
+1.2%
90d:
-9.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.32
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $24.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.88 to $24.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.88 -
$24.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($29.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.88 -
$24.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.66
Resistance Level
$25.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.35
Wall Street Target
$29.75
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.91
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$22.39
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â21)
$24.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.42
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 3.9%)
$26.95
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$22.91
(-5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$52.08
(+117%)
Analyst growth 97.0%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case
$47.35
(+97%)
Market implied 97.0%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case
$16.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.81
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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