CAE
CAE INC
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
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CAE (CAE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.15
+0.76 (+2.77%)
▲
5d:
+5.08%
30d:
+21.13%
90d:
+7.52%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$23.75 – $26.85
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.1x
FAIR
vs 20.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.60
+19.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.66 / $30.34
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.17
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $28.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.75 to $26.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $25.66, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.60 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $25.66, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.60 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.75 -
$26.85
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.75 -
$26.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$25.66
Resistance Level
$30.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.07
Wall Street Target
$32.60
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.99
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$28.61
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$29.24
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$30.75
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.67
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$23.52
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$59.14
(+116%)
Analyst growth 93.9%, PE expands to 47.7
Base Case
$53.76
(+96%)
Market implied 93.9%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$18.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CAE)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CAE is mentioned in Time's list of the most sustainable companies in the world for 2026 according to a Bullish StockTwits user
Key Retail Themes:
Corporate Sustainability
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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