CAE (CAE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$25.02
0.51 (2.08%)
â˛
5d:
+4.64%
30d:
+2.5%
90d:
-0.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.17
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $25.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.54 to $24.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.94 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.94 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.54 -
$24.40
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($32.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.54 -
$24.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.01
Resistance Level
$25.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.16
Wall Street Target
$32.94
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.62
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$24.42
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â21)
$25.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.09
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.67
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$23.52
(-6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$51.47
(+106%)
Analyst growth 90.9%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case
$46.79
(+87%)
Market implied 90.9%, PE stable at 37.7
Bear Case
$16.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$25.68
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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