CAE (CAE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$23.98
0.30 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
-13.37%
90d:
-5.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.48
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $23.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.14 to $26.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.25, while resistance sits at $25.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.60 (+27.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.25, while resistance sits at $25.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.60 (+27.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.14 -
$26.67
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($30.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.14 -
$26.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.26
Resistance Level
$25.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.33
Wall Street Target
$30.60
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$22.80
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$22.23
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$24.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.10
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 3.9%)
$26.93
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$22.89
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$51.30
(+114%)
Analyst growth 97.0%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case
$46.64
(+95%)
Market implied 97.0%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case
$16.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.93
(+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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