CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$71.85
0.04 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
+2.77%
30d:
+12.99%
90d:
+23.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.87
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $71.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.80 to $70.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.80 -
$70.03
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.80 -
$70.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.56
Resistance Level
$72.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.45
Wall Street Target
$76.25
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 19.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.37
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$79.06
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$82.94
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$107.86
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$104.66
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.5%)
$88.96
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case
$157.98
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.7
Base Case
$143.62
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.9
Bear Case
$48.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.
