CCEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCEP - Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Ordinary Shares
$109.46
-2.25 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
+4.14%
30d:
+3.17%
90d:
+15.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCEP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CCEP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.49
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCEP is currently trading at $109.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.22 to $108.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCEP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $102.94, while resistance sits at $113.67.
Market Sentiment: CCEP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCEP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $102.94, while resistance sits at $113.67.
Market Sentiment: CCEP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$101.22 -
$108.73
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.22 -
$108.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.94
Resistance Level
$113.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.32
Wall Street Target
$109.80
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.3%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.96
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$116.58
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$120.31
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$145.49
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$135.12
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.0%)
$114.86
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.87
Bull Case
$123.74
(+13%)
Analyst growth 0.7%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$112.49
(+3%)
Market implied 0.7%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$75.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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