CELH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$28.67
-0.46 (-1.56%) ▼
5d: -0.26%
30d: -3.48%
90d: -27.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CELH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.6% annual earnings decline despite 126% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.75
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.35
49.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CELH is currently trading at $28.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.25 to $31.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CELH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.55, while resistance sits at $31.66.

Market Sentiment: CELH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.57 (+108.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $28.25 - $31.11
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 108.0% below Wall St target ($60.57)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $28.25 - $31.11
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.55
Resistance Level $31.67
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.31
Wall Street Target $60.57 (+108.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 137.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 125.8%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 23.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.21 (-10%)
2-Year Target $23.59 (-19%)
3-Year Target $21.23 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→23) $34.11 (+17%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.8%) $86.09 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 24.8%) $56.57 (+94%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.8%) $48.08 (+65%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.46
Bull Case $35.16 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case $29.12 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case $22.28 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 23.0
Stabilization Target: $46.80 (+60.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +60.7%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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