CELH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$33.36
0.82 (2.52%) ▲
5d: +14.68%
30d: +22.78%
90d: +12.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 11, 2026 at $28.09 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CELH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.46
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.65
17.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CELH is currently trading at $33.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.32 to $30.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CELH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CELH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.95 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $27.32 - $30.83
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($40.95)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $27.32 - $30.83
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.03
Resistance Level $33.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.16
Wall Street Target $40.95 (+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -56.9%
Profit Margin 4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.2 vs 21.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.33 (-3%)
2-Year Target $31.32 (-6%)
3-Year Target $30.35 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→21) $33.43 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.8%) $61.67 (+85%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 20.8%) $58.86 (+76%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 20.8%) $50.03 (+50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.93 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case $40.28 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case $33.36 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case $25.52 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 21.1
Stabilization Target: $36.75 (+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.1%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CELH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CELH price and gamma walls.

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