CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$25.73
0.36 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
-8.5%
30d:
+1.82%
90d:
-1.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $28.27 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.47
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.86
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $25.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.16 to $28.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.55 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.55 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.16 -
$28.50
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($35.55)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.16 -
$28.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.19
Resistance Level
$28.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.75
Wall Street Target
$35.55
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.41
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$23.77
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$25.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.6%)
$86.01
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$41.80
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 17.6%)
$35.53
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$34.89
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$31.72
(+23%)
Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$17.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$27.96
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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Advanced CCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.
