CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$27.81
0.04 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+5.62%
30d:
-2.49%
90d:
+4.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 28, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.47
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.86
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $27.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.20 to $28.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.55 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.55 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.20 -
$28.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($35.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.20 -
$28.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.10
Resistance Level
$28.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.54
Wall Street Target
$35.55
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Profit Margin
11.2%
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.81
(0%)
2-Year Target
$27.81
(0%)
3-Year Target
$27.81
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$27.96
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.6%)
$88.84
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 17.6%)
$45.18
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.6%)
$38.41
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$36.30
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$33.00
(+19%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$18.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.
