Is CCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CCL is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CCL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of CCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CCL to be between $22.53 and $26.55. The current price is $27.34.

What is the analyst price target for CCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CCL is $33.89. This implies a potential upside of 24.1% from current levels.

Carnival (CCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCL - Carnival Corporation

WATER TRANSPORTATION

$27.34

0.04 (0.13%) ▲

5d: +3.31%

30d: +25.39%

90d: +3.82%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CCL Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 21, 2026 at $27.30 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$40.30

Based on 8.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$25.02

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $27.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.53 to $26.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.89 (+24.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $22.53 - $26.55

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($33.89)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.53 - $26.55

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.51

Resistance Level $27.80

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.61

Wall Street Target $33.89 (+24.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.0%

Profit Margin 11.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium

PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 10.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $27.55 (+1%)

2-Year Target $27.79 (+2%)

3-Year Target $28.04 (+3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $27.22 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.6%) $74.87 (+174%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 13.6%) $40.01 (+47%)

Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 13.6%) $34.01 (+25%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 11.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27

Bull Case $33.73 (+24%)

Analyst growth 13.3%, PE expands to 13.1

Base Case $30.66 (+12%)

Market implied 13.3%, PE stable at 11.9

Bear Case $18.40 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CCL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.

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