CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$28.66
-1.54 (-5.08%)
▼
5d:
-4.86%
30d:
+9.45%
90d:
+12.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.38
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $28.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.82 to $29.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.65, while resistance sits at $31.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.05 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.65, while resistance sits at $31.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.05 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.82 -
$29.43
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.82 -
$29.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.65
Resistance Level
$31.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.57
Wall Street Target
$35.05
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.10
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$32.03
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$32.99
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.23
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$91.12
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 17.0%)
$48.40
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$41.14
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$39.04
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$35.49
(+18%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$20.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
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SELL
2026-03-30
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