Is CCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CCL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CCL to be between $23.74 and $28.29. The current price is $22.75.

What is the analyst price target for CCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CCL is $35.30. This implies a potential upside of 55.1% from current levels.

Carnival (CCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCL - Carnival Corporation

WATER TRANSPORTATION

$22.75

0.28 (1.25%) ▲

5d: -3.11%

30d: -17.78%

90d: -19.1%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CCL Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 05, 2026 22d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $23.51 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$45.74

Based on 10.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$28.40

19.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $22.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.74 to $28.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.30 (+55.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $23.74 - $28.29

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($35.30)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.74 - $28.29

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.28

Resistance Level $25.48

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.64

Wall Street Target $35.30 (+55.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.5%

Profit Margin 11.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 10.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $21.34 (-6%)

2-Year Target $20.02 (-12%)

3-Year Target $18.78 (-18%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→11) $22.81 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.4%) $85.98 (+278%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 17.4%) $36.84 (+62%)

Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 17.4%) $31.31 (+38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 10.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20

Bull Case $29.58 (+30%)

Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 11.2

Base Case $26.89 (+18%)

Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 10.2

Bear Case $15.28 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 10.5

Stabilization Target: $27.64 (+21.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +21.5%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 11988 shares 2026-04-01

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 12 shares 2026-03-31

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.

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