CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$26.61
-0.22 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
-3.27%
30d:
+2.39%
90d:
-4.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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7 traders called CCL this week
58% bullish • 5 bearish
58% bullish • 5 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.18
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.67
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $26.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.84 to $29.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.27, while resistance sits at $29.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.59 (+33.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.27, while resistance sits at $29.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.59 (+33.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.84 -
$29.67
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($35.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.84 -
$29.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.27
Resistance Level
$29.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.11
Wall Street Target
$35.59
(+33.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.21
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$25.82
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$25.43
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$26.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.4%)
$92.79
(+249%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 17.4%)
$43.07
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 17.4%)
$36.61
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$35.00
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$31.82
(+20%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$18.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$27.90
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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