CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.45
0.02 (0.17%)
โฒ
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+2.78%
90d:
+2.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
๐ HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
๐ HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.13
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.12
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.04 to $11.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $12.03.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $12.03.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.04 -
$11.43
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.04 -
$11.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.92
Resistance Level
$12.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.60
Wall Street Target
$12.46
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.73
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.39
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13โ14)
$11.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 17.9%)
$30.96
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 17.9%)
$18.75
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 17.9%)
$15.93
(+39%)
๐
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$17.58
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.8%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$15.98
(+40%)
Market implied 39.8%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$7.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
๐ก
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.63
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 12:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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