CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$12.34
0.32 (2.66%)
▲
5d:
+4.66%
30d:
+7.96%
90d:
+5.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.98
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.03
5.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $12.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.40 to $11.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $12.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $12.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.40 -
$11.95
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($11.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.40 -
$11.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.45
Resistance Level
$12.39
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.58
Wall Street Target
$11.64
(-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.28
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.22
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$12.16
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$12.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.9%)
$29.86
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 17.9%)
$20.20
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 17.9%)
$17.17
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case
$19.70
(+60%)
Analyst growth 49.0%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$17.91
(+45%)
Market implied 49.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$8.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.54
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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