CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$10.42
-0.03 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
-4.14%
30d:
+2.36%
90d:
-9.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.25
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $10.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.28 to $10.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.97, while resistance sits at $11.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.97, while resistance sits at $11.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.28 -
$10.93
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($13.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.28 -
$10.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.97
Resistance Level
$11.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.32
Wall Street Target
$13.25
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 16.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.60
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$9.22
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$10.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 77.8%)
$53.48
(+413%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 77.8%)
$35.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 77.8%)
$29.89
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$22.77
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$20.70
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$7.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$11.79
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
