CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$10.25
-0.07 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-8.07%
30d:
-6.14%
90d:
-4.3%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.25
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $10.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.28 to $11.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.28 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.28 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.28 -
$11.02
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($13.28)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.28 -
$11.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.11
Resistance Level
$11.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.00
Wall Street Target
$13.28
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.79
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$9.35
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$8.93
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$10.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 77.1%)
$51.22
(+400%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 77.1%)
$34.59
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 77.1%)
$29.40
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$22.70
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$20.64
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$7.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$11.79
(+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
