CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$33.34
0.14 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
-6.22%
90d:
-17.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.1% annual earnings decline despite 225% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.1% annual earnings decline despite 225% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.25
37.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $33.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.75 to $35.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.82 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.82 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.75 -
$35.55
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.75 -
$35.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.04
Resistance Level
$34.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$38.82
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
52.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.18
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$27.43
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$24.94
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$33.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 38.0%)
$242.45
(+630%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 38.0%)
$87.28
(+163%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 38.0%)
$74.18
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.50
Bull Case
$20.29
(-39%)
Analyst growth -43.5%, PE expands to 4.8
Base Case
$18.45
(-44%)
Market implied -43.5%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$22.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$44.04
(+32.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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