CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$36.04
0.24 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+6.79%
30d:
+6.5%
90d:
-4.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.70
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.14
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $36.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.76 to $34.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.76 -
$34.64
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.76 -
$34.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.67
Resistance Level
$36.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.04
Wall Street Target
$37.82
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
44.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.81
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$33.63
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$32.49
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$35.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 21.9%)
$149.49
(+315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$65.21
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 21.9%)
$55.43
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.17
Bull Case
$25.44
(-29%)
Analyst growth -35.4%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$23.13
(-36%)
Market implied -35.4%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$24.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$39.86
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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