CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRC - California Resources Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$52.90
-1.91 (-3.48%) ▼
5d: -6.52%
30d: -15.03%
90d: -17.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.24
Based on -13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $52.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.59 to $62.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: CRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.45 (+55.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $56.59 - $62.05
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 55.9% below Wall St target ($82.45)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.5%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.59 - $62.05
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $54.93
Resistance Level $62.10
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.91
Wall Street Target $82.45 (+55.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -61.5%
Profit Margin -13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -16.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.9 vs 20.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.61 (-10%)
2-Year Target $42.85 (-19%)
3-Year Target $38.56 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→20) $65.40 (+24%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -31.0%) $70.52 (+33%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -31.0%) $38.56 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 10.1, Growth: -31.0%) $32.78 (-38%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 20.2
Stabilization Target: $89.72 (+69.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +69.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould SELL 24347 shares 2026-03-11
Omar Hayat SELL 23000 shares 2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland SELL 16372 shares 2026-03-06

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