CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$52.62
1.55 (3.04%)
▲
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
+1.68%
90d:
-22.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.60
Based on -10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $52.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.09 to $53.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.25, while resistance sits at $55.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+47.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.25, while resistance sits at $55.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+47.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$51.09 -
$53.49
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.4% below Wall St target ($77.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.09 -
$53.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.25
Resistance Level
$55.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.69
Wall Street Target
$77.55
(+47.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.5%
Profit Margin
-13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$42.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.36
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$52.96
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -24.8%)
$58.09
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: -24.8%)
$38.36
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -24.8%)
$32.61
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$72.64
(+38.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould
SELL
24347 shares
2026-03-11
Omar Hayat
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland
SELL
16372 shares
2026-03-06
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