CRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRM - Salesforce, Inc.
$184.02
3.31 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+12.44%
30d:
+12.74%
90d:
+4.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$292.23
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$181.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRM is currently trading at $184.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.61 to $175.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $155.15, while resistance sits at $190.18.
Market Sentiment: CRM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.72 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $155.15, while resistance sits at $190.18.
Market Sentiment: CRM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.72 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$156.61 -
$175.89
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($241.72)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$156.61 -
$175.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$155.15
Resistance Level
$190.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$241.72
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.2%
Profit Margin
18.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.50
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$173.14
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$167.95
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$184.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$376.06
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$254.54
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$216.36
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.28
Bull Case
$314.86
(+71%)
Analyst growth 58.4%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$286.23
(+56%)
Market implied 58.4%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$122.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$201.97
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-20
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