CRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp
$519.66
15.95 (3.17%)
▲
5d:
-13.92%
30d:
-14.83%
90d:
+21.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRS is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRS is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$590.10
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $519.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $556.53 to $606.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.2) compared to its historical average (35.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $472.29, while resistance sits at $612.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $472.29, while resistance sits at $612.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$556.53 -
$606.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($571.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$556.53 -
$606.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$472.29
Resistance Level
$612.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.24
Wall Street Target
$571.33
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.3%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
40.2 vs 35.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$540.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$562.06
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$584.55
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$518.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.2, Growth: 22.0%)
$944.17
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 22.0%)
$486.38
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 22.0%)
$413.42
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 23.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $22.24
Bull Case
$627.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$519.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$397.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James D Dee
SELL
15800 shares
2026-02-24
Steven E Karol
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-19
Steven E Karol
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-19
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