Is ATI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ATI is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of ATI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ATI to be between $201.80 and $224.50. The current price is $198.77.

What is the analyst price target for ATI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ATI is $259.89. This implies a potential upside of 30.7% from current levels.

ATI (ATI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATI - ATI Inc.

STEEL PIPE & TUBES

$198.77

-0.23 (-0.12%) ▼

5d: -2.82%

30d: -13.74%

90d: -0.37%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ATI Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $210.65 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 24.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$307.02

Based on 14.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$190.64

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATI is currently trading at $198.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.80 to $224.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.2) is in line with its historical norms (31.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $196.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.89 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $201.80 - $224.50

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($259.89)
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $201.80 - $224.50

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $196.60

Resistance Level $215.94

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.19

Wall Street Target $259.89 (+30.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.7%

Profit Margin 10.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 31.2 vs 31.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $197.38 (-1%)

2-Year Target $196.00 (-1%)

3-Year Target $194.62 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→32) $198.43 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 31.2, Growth: 24.5%) $384.01 (+93%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.5%) $248.33 (+25%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 24.5%) $211.08 (+6%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 32.26 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.16

Bull Case $240.01 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.9

Base Case $198.77 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.3

Bear Case $152.06 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.2 to 31.8

Stabilization Target: $202.66 (+2.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +2.0%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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