CMPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMPO - CompoSecure, Inc.
$25.15
-0.53 (-2.06%)
âŧ
5d:
+7.43%
30d:
+28.12%
90d:
+27.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jan 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.37
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMPO is currently trading at $25.15, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.52, while resistance sits at $26.50.
Market Sentiment: CMPO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.52, while resistance sits at $26.50.
Market Sentiment: CMPO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with -42.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.52
Resistance Level
$26.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jan 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.51
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.3%
Profit Margin
-134.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 18.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.04
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$29.06
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$31.24
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.76
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.49
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$24.74
(-2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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