CSAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSAN - Cosan S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing four Common Shares)
$2.93
0.11 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
+11.83%
30d:
-15.56%
90d:
-28.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSAN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSAN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.10
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSAN is currently trading at $2.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.67 to $3.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (2.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.13 (+46.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.13 (+46.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.67 -
$3.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.4% below Wall St target ($4.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 24.2% growth with 26.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.67 -
$3.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.52
Resistance Level
$2.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.70
Wall Street Target
$4.13
(+46.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
-23.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.2% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 2.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.50
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$4.35
(+54%)
3-Year Target
$5.40
(+92%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.87
(+2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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