CSAN
Cosan S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing four Common Shares)
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CSAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.75
-0.05 (-1.79%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.51%
30d:
+8.27%
90d:
+3.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.6x
STRETCHED
vs 3.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.41
+24.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.67 / $3.12
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CSAN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.28
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSAN is currently trading at $2.75, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.41 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.41 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
71.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$2.67
Resistance Level
$3.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($3.41)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.58
Wall Street Target
$3.41
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
-22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 3.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.91
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$3.07
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$3.25
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.76
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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