CSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$34.45
-0.08 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-5.46%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
-21.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.15
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $34.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.81 to $39.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.33, while resistance sits at $36.59.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.67 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.33, while resistance sits at $36.59.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.67 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.81 -
$39.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($52.67)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.81 -
$39.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.33
Resistance Level
$36.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.49
Wall Street Target
$52.67
(+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.18
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$30.05
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$28.07
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$34.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.1%)
$89.58
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.1%)
$42.36
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.1%)
$36.01
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case
$49.24
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$44.77
(+30%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$23.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$42.11
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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