CSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$39.39
1.13 (2.95%)
▲
5d:
+2.07%
30d:
-10.25%
90d:
-8.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.32
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $39.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.93 to $42.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $37.11, while resistance sits at $40.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $37.11, while resistance sits at $40.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.93 -
$42.92
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($60.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.93 -
$42.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.11
Resistance Level
$40.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.47
Wall Street Target
$60.00
(+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.54
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.77
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$34.09
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$39.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$106.05
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$50.98
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$43.34
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case
$57.57
(+46%)
Analyst growth 36.8%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$52.34
(+33%)
Market implied 36.8%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$26.02
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$45.52
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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