CTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTO - CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
$21.97
0.10 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-0.14%
30d:
+2.28%
90d:
+8.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.81
Based on -29.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTO is currently trading at $21.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.39 to $22.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 87.9) compared to its historical average (75.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$21.39 -
$22.16
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.1% growth expectation is conservative given 1200% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.39 -
$22.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.48
Resistance Level
$22.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
87.88
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1200.1%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
87.9 vs 75.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.09
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$24.27
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$25.51
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 88→76)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 87.9, Growth: -62.7%)
$16.02
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -62.7%)
$3.78
(-83%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -62.7%)
$3.21
(-85%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$12.03
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$10.94
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$14.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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