CVGW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGW - Calavo Growers Inc
$26.09
-0.18 (-0.69%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
-8.52%
90d:
-2.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVGW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVGW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.77
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGW is currently trading at $26.09, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -20.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.95
Resistance Level
$27.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.16
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.8%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.85
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$27.63
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$28.43
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.8%)
$41.87
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 7.8%)
$32.68
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 7.8%)
$27.78
(+7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 25, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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