CW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$634.99
-13.29 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-9.2%
30d:
-15.34%
90d:
-12.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$628.15
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$390.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $634.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $681.13 to $741.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.1) compared to its historical average (42.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $633.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $806.50 (+27.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $633.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $806.50 (+27.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$681.13 -
$741.05
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($806.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$681.13 -
$741.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$633.57
Resistance Level
$728.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.07
Wall Street Target
$806.50
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.1 vs 42.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$608.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$582.77
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$558.29
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→42)
$634.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$892.62
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$483.28
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$410.79
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.00
Bull Case
$872.53
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 50.9
Base Case
$793.21
(+25%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 46.3
Bear Case
$440.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.1 to 42.1
Stabilization Target:
$721.16
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary A Ogilby
SELL
252 shares
2026-03-18
Gary A Ogilby
SELL
148 shares
2026-03-17
George P Mcdonald
SELL
151 shares
2026-03-17
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